Data through close

Historical payoff versus option premium

Where do historical price scenarios imply a payoff above the current option cost?

Historical terminal-price scenarios compared with conservative option entry costs. Outcomes are estimates based on past price behavior, not probabilities inferred from the option price or guaranteed returns. Data through close. Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

At a glance

50 tickers qualified. First five: MU (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), SNDK (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), INTC (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), AXTI (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), MRVL (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.).

Evaluated 445 tickers with the required inputs. Tickers with missing history or ineligible quotes are excluded. At most 50 matches are published.

Historical payoff versus option premium as of Oct 16, 2026 close
# Ticker Close Open interest Research observation
1 MU 878.84 3,062,921 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
2 SNDK 1,299.30 885,944 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
3 INTC 89.85 6,131,250 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
4 AXTI 51.47 233,462 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
5 MRVL 227.83 1,449,743 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
6 AMD 528.75 3,042,691 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
7 WOLF 23.22 280,176 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
8 SOXL 93.67 1,499,354 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
9 RKLB 50.84 1,167,698 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
10 TEAM 207.82 141,345 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
11 ARM 227.80 793,099 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
12 DELL 451.54 637,025 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
13 SOXX 493.39 496,974 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
14 WDC 332.00 502,274 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
15 LITE 824.13 246,020 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
16 BE 221.31 884,042 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
17 CRM 240.70 624,322 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
18 SPY 763.25 16,218,861 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
19 QQQ 709.80 11,535,437 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
20 SMH 539.79 1,492,950 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
21 SPXW 7,650.84 5,101,278 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
22 IBIT 46.15 6,616,174 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
23 C 124.27 1,036,714 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
24 USO 161.76 1,348,119 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
25 MAGS 71.28 188,373 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
26 MSFT 529.05 3,280,640 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
27 LRCX 263.94 495,230 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
28 DDOG 247.11 194,011 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
29 SNOW 306.84 524,411 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
30 MDB 337.57 256,877 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
31 BABA 109.10 1,728,624 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
32 INTU 325.15 163,592 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
33 NVTS 8.34 489,889 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
34 NEM 118.60 426,003 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
35 STM 45.39 306,811 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
36 AMAT 409.29 502,224 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
37 DAL 75.37 389,353 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
38 AAPL 343.46 4,386,792 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
39 OKTA 187.26 160,071 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
40 ALAB 285.82 218,669 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
41 QCOM 172.11 831,210 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
42 AVGO 328.75 2,170,917 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
43 PENG 57.10 65,321 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
44 BNO 67.19 196,348 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
45 LULU 97.10 449,182 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
46 GLD 382.01 4,728,181 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
47 BB 8.06 511,885 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
48 ABCL 11.80 125,379 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
49 STX 639.01 286,515 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.
50 IGV 104.34 1,329,856 Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.

Screens describe what the data shows after the close. They are not trade recommendations; see the disclaimer and the methodology.